Life - Articles - CMI notes deaths below normal levels in recent weeks


During the coronavirus pandemic, the Continuous Mortality Investigation (CMI) is publishing frequent UK mortality analysis through its mortality monitor.

  The latest update covers week 13 of 2021 (27 March to 2 April) based on provisional England & Wales deaths data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on 13 April 2021.

 The key points of this update are:
 • Results for week 13 of 2021 are affected by the Good Friday bank holiday at the end of the week.
 
 • The number of deaths registered in England & Wales in week 13 of 2021 was 1,988 lower than if mortality rates had been the same as in week 13 of 2019; equivalent to 20% fewer deaths than expected. The corresponding figures for recent weeks, unaffected by bank holidays, were 6% fewer deaths than expected in week 12, 5% fewer in week 11, and 2% fewer in week 10.
 
 • There have been around 107,200 more deaths than expected in the UK from the start of the pandemic to 2 April 2021. Of these, 46,400 have occurred since the start of the second wave.
 
 • The number of deaths with COVID-19 mentioned on the death certificate was 400 in week 13 of 2021, compared to 489 in week 12 of 2021.

 Cobus Daneel, Chair of the CMI Mortality Projections Committee, said: “Lockdown restrictions and the vaccination programme have had a significant impact on deaths, and mortality in the past four weeks has been below normal levels for the time of year. Deaths have fallen fastest in the oldest age groups, consistent with the vaccination programme targeting those age groups first.”

 All mortality monitor weekly updates are publicly available on the mortality monitor page.
  

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