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Comment from XPS Pensions Group below following this morning’s ONS inflation announcement. RPI was 14.0% and CPI was 10.7% this morning as current inflation levels finally started to stall. We may have seen the peak of annual inflation rates as figures fall for the first time since the summer of 2021. |
• XPS’s DB:UK funding tracker estimates that £100bn of liabilities have been removed from UK defined benefit pension schemes over 2022 due to long-term inflation expectations falling despite short-term inflationary pressures.
• However, inflation is not expected to fall quickly and could stay in double digits for a while yet meaning that the income of UK private sector defined benefit pensioners still lags being the cost of living.
Charlotte Jones, Senior Consultant at XPS Pensions Group, said: “We’re seeing schemes working with companies to explore additional pension increases and support their pensioners through the cost-of-living crisis. Whilst the average scheme is much better funded over 2022 there is a wide disparity of experience. For some schemes loss of hedging following the spike in gilt yields and falling growth asset values could mean that long-term security is still a way off. As a result, some schemes are unlikely to be able to boost their pensioners income.” |
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