![]() |
Fixed Income outlook from Iain Stealey, portfolio manager in the International Fixed Income Group at J.P. Morgan Asset Management |
"Another weekend and another European bailout package! This time it was the markets' current concern that was looking to be addressed; Spanish Banks. Euro leaders felt that this time they were ahead of the curve and as markets opened on Monday investors initially agreed. Equities rallied, core government bond yields rose and peripheral yields fell following reports of an agreed €100bn package (significantly more than current IMF estimated requirements of €40bn). However, the length of the warm happy feeling following a European bailout is diminishing on each new announcement. By midday, sentiment had shifted 180 degrees as concerns were surfacing regarding the implementation of the package. It appeared not to be the panacea that was hoped for, but instead the Spanish sovereign getting subsidised funding. This would make banks and the sovereign even more interconnected, and the debt to GDP ratio would increase as a result. "The concerns around the sovereign remains the heart of the problem for Spain, unemployment is high, debt levels are rising, GDP is falling and investors are concerned how this can be reversed without further bailouts. Expectations for positive growth in the region have now been pushed out to 2014. "Combine this with nervousness ahead of Sunday's Greek election and the additional volatility that this could create if anti-austerity parties gain further support, investors are happy to position themselves close to home. Global portfolios remain neutral duration with overweights in US corporates and Core Europe covered bonds while positioned short the periphery." |
|
|
|
| Senior Pricing & Portfolio Management... | ||
| London - £150,000 Per Annum | ||
| Pricing Transformation Lead | ||
| London - £85,000 Per Annum | ||
| Lead Capital Actuary | ||
| London - £150,000 Per Annum | ||
| Take the lead on capital oversight | ||
| London / hybrid 2 days p/w office-based - Negotiable | ||
| Be at the forefront of creative GI co... | ||
| London/hybrid 2-3dpw office-based - Negotiable | ||
| Remote Market and Credit Risk Calibra... | ||
| Remote - Negotiable | ||
| Contact us about a Capital Contract i... | ||
| London / hybrid 2 days p/w office-based - Negotiable | ||
| Head of Insurance Risk | ||
| London - £160,000 Per Annum | ||
| Director - Pensions Risk Transfer (PRT) | ||
| London, Midlands, North West - hybrid working 2dpw in the office - Negotiable | ||
| Dip a toe into public sector work wit... | ||
| Flex / hybrid 2 days p/w office-based - Negotiable | ||
| P&C Consultant | ||
| London / hybrid 3dpw office-based - Negotiable | ||
| Take the lead client-facing projects ... | ||
| Various locations - Negotiable | ||
| Choose Life! Choose a major global co... | ||
| Various locations - Negotiable | ||
| Actuarial skillset? Apply now for Snr... | ||
| South East / hybrid with travel requirements - Negotiable | ||
| Financial Risk Leader - ALM Oversight | ||
| Flex / hybrid - Negotiable | ||
| Be the very model of a modern Capital... | ||
| London - Negotiable | ||
| Pensions Actuary seeking a high-impac... | ||
| London or Scotland / hybrid 3dpw office-based - Negotiable | ||
| Great opportunity for Pensions Actuar... | ||
| London or Scotland / hybrid 3dpw office-based - Negotiable | ||
| Responsible Investing Manager - Clima... | ||
| London/Hybrid - Negotiable | ||
| Quant Strategist | ||
| London/Hybrid - Negotiable | ||
Be the first to contribute to our definitive actuarial reference forum. Built by actuaries for actuaries.