General Insurance Article - Implications for Canadian P&C insurers from recent wildfires


Morningstar DBRS published the August 2026 edition of "Consider Credit—Fundamental Ratings Monthly Briefing." It includes a Credit Rating Actions Dashboard and a description of our recent and anticipated credit rating considerations across Governments & Public Finance, Financial Institutions, and Corporate Finance.

Steve Liu, Assistant Vice President, Global Insurance & Pension Ratings, comments on the credit rating implications for Canadian P&C insurers from the current wildfires. "The recent expansion of wildfire activity in British Columbia has increased the need for continued monitoring, given the province's history of generating some of Canada's largest insured wildfire losses. Nevertheless, we believe Canadian insurers remain well positioned to absorb wildfire-related losses under the current loss scenario, supported by strong earnings, robust capital buffers, and adequate reinsurance protection."

Credit rating considerations include:
There was one trend change to Negative from Stable for Sovereign credits with the rest being confirmations, while Sub-Sovereigns and Public Finance were all confirmations. 
Financial Institutions credit rating actions were mostly confirmations, but one trend was changed to Negative from Stable.
Credit ratings for Diversified Industries; Energy, Utilities, and Natural Resources; and Asset Finance included one upgrade, one downgrade, and one trend change to Stable from Positive. Meanwhile, for private credit, adjusting to exclude upgrades from recent default cases, the ratio of downgrades to upgrades was at 2.9 times (x), down from 3.8x at YE2025.

This month's featured topics are related to Hungary's ability to deliver on its announced fiscal target, credit implications from growing opposition toward data center construction, and credit implications from the ongoing wildfires for Canadian property and casualty (P&C) insurance companies.

Yesenn El-Radhi, Senior Vice President, Global Sovereign Ratings, comments on Hungary's ability to achieve its recently announced fiscal target. "The new Hungarian government has set an ambitious fiscal target for 2030, but the announced consolidation measures are unlikely to be sufficient for reaching this goal. Durable fiscal consolidation will depend on politically challenging measures that broaden the tax base and restrain spending, with a primary balance improvement of 2.0% to 2.5% of GDP likely needed to stabilize public debt."

Jason LaPorte, Vice President, Corporate Ratings, Asset Finance, comments on the credit implications related to growing opposition to data center construction. "Impacts to data center credits have been limited so far, as rated debt in project finance has largely been late-stage construction or fully completed. However, if new construction were inhibited, this could increase the value of operating data centers and make debt refinancings easier."

 

Catch up on these topics and more thought leadership from across the Fundamental Credit Ratings teams and around the globe in this month's edition.

August 2026 edition of "Consider Credit—Fundamental Ratings Monthly Briefing."

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