Life insurance news and articles written by acturies for actuaries - read the latest research pieces, today's news and latest articles in the Life insurance market.

A General Procedure for Constructing Mortality Models

The general procedure for constructing mortality models is a new approach based on analysing mortality rates across the dimensions of age, period and year of birth. It uses a combination of statistical methods and expert judgement to identify sequentially every significant demographic feature in the data and give it a specific functional form. This means that it can be used to give a better understanding of the historic changes in mortality and therefore more reliable forecasts of future mortality rates.
 
Longevity risk is one of the key demographic risks faced by pension plans and life assurers. In recent years, a host of different competing models for measuring and monitoring longevity risk have been created; however many of them give poor fits to historic data or make unfeasible forecasts of mortality rates. To overcome these problems, the “General Procedure” (GP) for constructing mortality models has been developed. It specifically addresses the need for more reliable forecasts of mortality, both at specific ages and for specific years of birth, which conventional models struggle to do.

Mortality rates for men and women from a national population can be analysed in terms of three factors: age, period and year of birth (or cohort). However, y...Read More

Addressing the Challenge of Global Ageing

Excerpt from the Executive Summary from Mr Patrick M Liedtke and Dr Kai-Uwe Schanz.

The notion of formal retirement is relatively young. In 1881 Chancellor Otto von Bismarck introduced the world’s first pension scheme in Germany. Prior to that, people generally worked “until they dropped”. However, when von Bismarck introduced his revolutionary scheme of protecting workers in their old age, it was only a very small minority of the population that ever reached the official retirement age of 65 years—then a full 20 years higher than the average life expectancy of a German worker. The scheme was never meant to become a social achieve...Read More

Low Interest Environment Weighing Heavily on Life Insurers

With U.S. interest rates at their lowest since right after World War II, chief financial officers (CFOs) at North American life insurance companies — particularly those with significant exposure to fixed-rate products — are under substantial financial pressures. According to data from a recent survey from global professional services company Towers Watson (NYSE, NASDAQ: TW), Life Insurance CFO Survey: Low Interest Rate Environment, life insurance CFOs said the current low interest rate environment is their primary business concern, as almost half (45%) of the survey respondents emphasized that a prolonged low interest rate environment is the g...Read More

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